The Choice of Exchange-Rate Regime and Speculative Attacks
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
The Choice of Exchange-rate Regime and Speculative Attacks
We develop a framework for studying the choice of exchange rate regime in an open economy where the local currency is vulnerable to speculative attacks. The framework makes it possible to study, for the first time, the strategic interaction between the ex ante choice of regime and the likelihhod of ex post currency attacks. The optimal regime is determined by a policymaker who trades off the lo...
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This paper explores the classic question regarding the costs and bene ̄ts of limiting exchange rate volatility starting from the premise that asset markets play an important role in aggregating information. I ̄nd that government trading, despite being completely observed, alters the ability of an asset market to reveal information. The main insight of the paper is that managing the exchange rate...
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This paper explains a currency crisis as an outcome of a switch in how monetary policy and fiscal policy are coordinated. The paper develops a model of an open economy in which monetary policy starts active, fiscal policy starts passive and, in a particular state of nature, monetary policy switches to passive and fiscal policy switches to active. The probability of the regime switch is endogeno...
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This paper surveys the persian monetary crises due to economic sanctions and speculative attacks that leads to high inflation. Economic sanctions are associated with various forms of trade barriers and restriction on financial transactions. Among the most influential sanctions on Iran's oil export and central bank sanctions are noted that their Aims to reduce Iran's oil revenues and Devaluation...
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We test a simple model of exchange rate regime choice with data for 65 non-OECD countries covering the period 1980-94. We find that the variance of output at home and in potential target countries as well as the correlation between home and foreign real activity are powerful and robust predictors of exchange rate regime choice. Surprisingly, a more volatile foreign economy can be an argument in...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Journal of the European Economic Association
سال: 2004
ISSN: 1542-4766,1542-4774
DOI: 10.1162/1542476042813869